We know that Blu-ray has garnered massive content support from the studios with about 80% of all of Hollywood's content locked up. But, Sony is not stopping there, it's well known that the Play Station 3 will be blessed with a Blu-ray drive. Analysts over at Fuji have looked deep into their crystal ball and are betting that even if we start out with two formats, that the PS3 will cause Blu-ray to win out by 2010!
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By contrast, support for the HD DVD format is expected to come from the computer manufacturing industry, with Fuji Economics predicting that HD DVD drives will be included in some desktop and notebook computers from 2006 onwards. Adoption of the next-generation DVD formats among consumers, however, is expected to be a slow process. Consumers accustomed to the current generation DVD format will most likely begin the switch to Blu-ray or HD DVD in 2008, with sales of 8 million Blu-ray disc and HD DVD players predicted by 2010. Of the 8 million players sold, Blu-ray is expected to gain market share of 4.5 million units, which would translate to revenue of approximately ¥119 billion [USD $993.5 million]. The 3.5 million HD DVD units expected to sell, on the other hand, would result in only ¥82 billion [US $684.5 million] in revenue. |
Well, that is sure some good info there. It does seem to make sense to provide a device that is already expected to be very popular nad have said hardware serve double duty as a high definition player! We have to wonder if Microsoft will try and upgrade the Xbox360 about the same time with a HD-DVD player. They have been quite vocal about their distaste for the Blu-ray concept and feel it is "anti-consumer". But, if they want to populate the living room, can they risk sitting on the sidelines and watching what happens with the PS3? In addition, the Xbox is being sold at a loss so the only thing they can hope for is market dominance. If the PS3 comes along as the next big thing and throws in a next-gen DVD player, it is going to get ugly for the Xbox.
Source: ps3focus
